In Memory of Stephen Zarlenga

Dear friends of the monetary reform cause,

Last April 25 Stephen Zarlenga, the founder and director of the American Monetary Institute,  passed away at his residence in Palatine, Illinois. He was cremated in a private ceremony at Elegy Cremation and Memorial Services, Arlington Heights, Illinois. His friends are organizing a memorial event, details of which are not yet known.

Stephen, a native of Chicago where he was born in 1941, was an insightful researcher of the history and mechanism of money and banking and he was a tireless crusader for monetary reform. In 1996 he established the non-profit charitable trust The American Monetary Institute and in 2002 he published his 700-page study The Lost Science of Money: The Mythology of Money – The Story of Power, which will have to be ranked as one of the classics in its field.

He encapsulated his research in one perceptive phrase: “Over time, whoever controls the money system, controls the nation”.

In 2004 Stephen organized the first AMI Monetary Reform Conference, which became a yearly successful event in which many academic experts, community activists and otherwise interested persons participated. The 13th Annual Conference is slated to be held at the University Center of the Roosevelt University in Chicago on September 14 through 17.

He was also instrumental in formulating and promoting monetary reform legislation for the US Congress to adopt. Democratic congressman Dennis Kucinich from Ohio introduced in 2010 the National Employment Emergency Defense Act (Need Act), which was based on an earlier version developed by Stephen, the American Monetary Act.

With Stephen’s passing the American monetary reform movement lost its most prominent and influential member and he will be sorely missed. Some big shoes are to be filled because his cause is our cause and should be humanity’s concern, because we believe that well-thought-out monetary reform legislation can have profound transformative effects on our globalized world as it can democratically redirect the power of money creation towards the formation of a more just and equitable society.

If you like you can sign his memorial guest book here. 

On Trump: Towards An Understanding Of Why Republicans Have Switched Off Their Critical Faculties

 

At the average rate of 4.88 lies a day [1] the current US president during his first 100 days in office has disgraced his office and further besmirched the international reputation of the US. Lie by lie he has walled himself in and lost credibility in the eyes of most sane and rational people. The disturbing and for many people mysterious phenomenon is that Trump’s job approval rating amongst Republicans is still at 87%.[2] This little article might provide some crucial pieces of this puzzle.

One study of the rise of malevolent political groups observed that when “a group [in this case the GOP] has succumbed to pathological influence [Trump and his clique] its members soon lose the ability to distinguish normal human behavior from pathological.”[3]

I think a strong case can be made that most Republicans have been hoodwinked and spellbound by Trumpism and that their increasing lack of critical thinking is being compensated with becoming more emotional and confused and that they increasingly, like their leader, perceive non-existent conspiracies and dangers.[4]

A very similar analysis was recently provided by the CEO of The New York Times, Mark Thompson, who gave an analysis of Trump’s use and abuse of the English language.

The super-short sentences emphasize certainty and determination, build up layer upon layer, like bricks in a wall themselves, toward a conclusion and an emotional climax. It’s a style that students of rhetoric call parataxis. This is the way generals and dictators have always spoken to distinguish themselves from the caviling civilians they mean to sweep aside. . . Trump’s appeal as a presidential candidate depends significantly on the belief that he is a truth-teller who will have nothing to do with the conventional language of politics. . . . We shouldn’t confuse anti-rhetorical ‘truth telling’ with actually telling the truth. One of the advantages of this positioning is that once listeners are convinced that you’re not trying to deceive them in the manner of a regular politician, they may switch off the critical faculties they usually apply to political speech and forgive you any amount of exaggeration, contradiction, or offensiveness. And if establishment rivals or the media criticize you, your supporters may dismiss that as spin.”[5]

If you tie the above ideas with the analysis by political scientist Karen Stenner on the increased intolerance of authoritarian conservatives based on their perception of real and imagined threats [6], you can get a more fine-grained understanding of what is really going on with the conservative part of the US electorate in relation to the truth.

Originally posted on Facebook, May 2, 2017.

[1]. “President Trump’s first 100 days: The fact check tally“. The Washington Post. 1 May 2017. 

[2]. “Presidential Approval Ratings — Donald Trump“. Gallup. 

[3]. “The Genesis of Evil“. Political Ponerology Web Site. 

[4]. “Trump: The Aspiring Pathocrat“. Alpheus. 24 Feb 2017. 

[5]. Blow, Charles. “Trump’s Degradation of the Language“. 1 May 2017. The New York Times. 

[6]. “On Trump: Intolerance and Authoritarianism“. Alpheus. 20 Feb 2017. 

Trump and the Deep State / The Koch Brothers’ New Brand

 

Just read new and updated forewords to two important book-length studies about power in the US. Both were updated to put their considerable investigations in connection with the new Trump administration.

The first book is by Prof. Peter Dale Scott, co-founder of the Peace and Conflict Studies program at UC Berkeley. He wrote a new foreword–“Donald J. Trump and The Deep State”[1]–to the recent 2017 paperback version of his The American Deep State: Big Money, Big Oil, and the Struggle for U.S. Democracy (2014)[2]. He is an expert on the concept of ‘Deep State’ and provides an updated history of the concept’s development.

Entry to the next massive study can be best obtained by reading ecological activist Bill McKibben’s review–“The Koch Brothers’ New Brand”[3]–to Jane Mayer’s Dark Money: The Hidden History of the Billionaires Behind the Rise of the Radical Right.[4] On Amazon you can read most of her new foreword.

What becomes clear in these writings is the fact that Trump and his cabinet are very much integral elements of the American power elite, though are part of a nationalist faction which has always operated at the margins of government.

Originally posted on Facebook, Feb 10, 2017.

[1]. Scott, Peter Dale. “Donald J. Trump and The Deep State“. Who.What.Why. 6 Feb 2017.

[2]. Scott, Peter Dale. The American Deep State: Big Money, Big Oil, and the Struggle for U.S. Democracy. Lanham, MD: Rowman & Littlefield, 2014. 

[3]. McKibben, Bill. “The Koch Brothers’ New Brand”. New York Review of Books. 10 Mar 2016. 

[4]. Mayer, Jane. Dark Money: The Hidden History of the Billionaires Behind the Rise of the Radical Right. New York: Doubleday, 2016.

On Trump: Against Normalization: The Lesson of the “Munich Post” by Ron Rosenbaum

 

I consider Ron Rosenbaum as one of America’s best and most entertaining journalistic writers. For me memorable articles include the ones on Watergate, the CIA mole-hunt and a few articles about Yale’s semi-secret senior society Skull and Bones.[1]

He also wrote a fascinating study, Explaining Hitler: The Search for the Origins of His Evil, about the many serious but diverse theories trying to get a grip on this most disturbing dictator.[2] Because of this expertise he was apparently asked many times to weigh in on the Trump-Hitler comparison debate, which he resisted till just after the inauguration.

Now Trump and his minions are in the driver’s seat, attempting to pose as respectable participants in American politics, when their views come out of a playbook written in German. Now is the time for a much closer inspection of the tactics and strategy that brought off this spectacular distortion of American values.[3]

Besides being vintage Rosenbaum, the article will be of interest for journalists as it focuses on the fate of a German opposition newspaper which was forced to stop its presses in early 1933 just after Hitler became chancellor.

And I remembered the Munich Post, defending Weimar Germany. I reflected on how fragile democratic institutions could be in the face of organized hatred. Hitler had been tricky about his plans until he got the position and the power to enact them. Trump had been tricky, neither accepting nor rejecting the endorsement of KKK leader David Duke. David Duke! The KKK! In this century! He claimed he didn’t know who he was. He couldn’t be disqualified because of someone he didn’t know. That’s where we all went wrong, thinking he was stupid and outrageous, not canny and savvy and able to play the media like Paganini. The election demonstrated the weakness of a weak democracy, where basic liberties could be abolished by demagoguery and voter suppression.

Originally posted on Facebook, February 20, 2107.

[1]. Articles collected in: Rosenbaum, Ron. Travels With Dr. Death: And other Unusual Investigations (New York: Penguin, 1991) and The Secret Parts of Fortune: Three Decades of Intensive Investigations and Edgy Enthusiasms (New York: Random House, 2000).

[2]. Rosenbaum, Ron. Explaining Hitler: The Search for the Origins of His Evil. (New York: Random House, 1998).

[3]. Rosenbaum, Ron. “Against Normalization: The Lesson of the ‘Munich Post’ “.  Los Angeles Review of Books. Feb 2017.

On Trump: “Trump’s New World Order”

It is interesting to see how delusional and divided the far right is in the US.

First of all I consider the far right that faction of the conservative movement which is authoritarian. This is the faction composed of people who have become intolerant of certain social and cultural differences and tend to exaggerate dangers, both real and imagined. Many found in Donald Trump their strong man to restore law and order, kick out the illegals, protect the homeland and get the jobs back from parasitic foreign countries.[1]

These authoritarian conservatives are not the same as the moderate status quo conservatives who have been quite outspoken against Trump during the primaries, then became somewhat supportive or silent during the election, and now some of whom have regained their oppositional voice like Senator McCain. The other conservative faction is the libertarian one. Overall they were opposed to Trump as he did not seem to understand the US Constitution nor the libertarian concept of freedom. Libertarian Senator Rand Paul recently made an inside quip about the Trump cabinet: “Haven’t seen this many billionaires since I staked out Bilderbergs with Alex Jones”.[2] Both factions lost adherents to the authoritarian Trump as conservatives succumbed to his mendacious fear-mongering and empty boasts to set things straight again.

Besides moderate and libertarian conservative opposition to Trump it looks like that within the far right itself there are some recent voices expressing second thoughts about him. For example Aaron and Melissa Dykes, who used to work for the arch-conspiricist and ardent Trump supporter Alex Jones, created a video attacking Trump from the farther right as a tool of hidden forces which, through Trump’s cabinet picks, are promoting a ‘New World Order’, which “started under Bush, was continued by Obama, and now it has been exponentially ramped up by Trump”,  especially by his national security team. Trump might not be totally aware of that and for support the Dykes repeat the now well-known quote by Steve Bannon that Trump  is a “blunt instrument for us. I don’t know whether he really gets it or not.”[3]

The whole video is a sample of sloppy conspiricist thinking at its best. They pick up facts and perspectives which might by themselves be worthy of deeper investigation (even the conclusion has merit, see below), but then fit them in a far-fetched narrative in which, for example, Hillary Clinton played the willing role of a “villain”, making intentionally stupid mistakes like her “deplorables” comment to make Trump look more heroic in this “stage play that was our last election”.

The interesting aspect for me here is that the Dykes do come to a conclusion in their video which has certain merits and that is that it has some congruence with more thoughtful criticisms of both Trump and Clinton coming from the progressive and socialist left. All of them agree that Bush, Romney, Obama, Clinton and Trump are all part of an establishment which is shaped and driven by deeper political and economic forces which they hardly challenge or, if challenged, only do so verbally. Many politicians, social scientists, journalists and whistleblowers have seen different smaller and bigger parts of this complex and have given it different names like the military-industrial complex, the power elite, the oligarchy, the Deep State, etc. Nobody really knows how this complex functions and perpetuates itself, but I think it is far more fractious, diverse and improvisational than most conspiricists believe, especially the grand conspiricists who think all politics and history is one big theater enacting an already determined script like the Dykes seem to believe in.

Meanwhile one can move even further to the right and enter the anti-Semitic corner from which Alex Jones and the Dykes are criticized for covering up the Jewish component of the international power elite and therefore running “Kosher Approved Fake ‘Truth’ Sites” peddling in fantasies, phony narratives and implausible conspiracies.[4]

A more personal reason to bring this video into focus has to do with the criticism I received from long-time friends and acquaintances for my opposition to Trump as they assumed that I, as a (former) conspiracy theorist of very limited reputation, should have seen the great and unprecedented opportunity of Trump taking on ‘The Conspiracy’ and maybe delivering it a knock out blow. Some might not have known that I had shifted from a spiritualist libertarianism to an evolutionist progressivism, which transformed conspiricism into a more scientific critique of power relations. Nevertheless, even if I had abided with conspiricism, I would have seen early on that Trump was not a bona fide conspiracy theorist and that he was quite ignorant, except for his own real estate lobbying sphere, about the structure, composition and practices of exploitation and domination of the current US power elite. Trying to pass off  Richard Haass, the president of the most internationalist and influential corporate elite think thank The Council on Foreign Relations–reviled by both the far left and far right–, as your favorite foreign policy advisor is an almost one-strike-out faux pas only a political novice could make. And by letting Bilderberg Steering Committee member and CIA-connected Peter Thiel on your transition team and then hire Skull & Bones (1985) member and foreclosure king Steven Mnuchin as treasury secretary you have already lost the game. Right wing conspiricist Glenn Beck–rooted in the works of whistleblower historian Carroll Quigley, former FBI agent W. Cleon Skousen and nephew Joel Skousen–saw also quickly Trump’s danger and called him a “narcissistic psychopath”, though he later turned around and supported Trump.

In short, I do share with conspiricists concerns about power and secrecy, but will investigate those phenomena guided by scientific principles rather than revelation, ideology, axiomatic conspiricism or wishful thinking.

As far as the video is concerned, I hope it will wake up conspiricist Trump supporters who then might consider to enter a temporary coalition with moderate conservatives and liberals to deal with the present and acute danger Trump poses through impeachment.

Originally posted on Facebook, February 18,  2017.

[1]. Schuller, Govert. “On Trump: Intolerance and Authoritarianism“. Alpheus. 20 Feb 2017. [Warning: Alpheus is an independent, critical website]

[2]. Watson, Steve. “Rand Paul Is Unhappy About Trump’s ‘Bilderberg’ Cabinet“. Infowars. 23 Dec 2016. [Warning: Infowars is a right wing, conspiricist fake news website]

[3]. Dykes, Aaron and Melissa. “Trump’s New World Order“. Truthstream Media. 5 Feb 2017. [Warning: Truthstream Media is a right wing, conspiricist website]

[4]. Rogers, Lee. “An Expose on Other Alex Jones-Style Kosher Approved Fake “Truth” Sites“. The Daily Slave. 28 Oct 2014. Reposted on The Daily Stormer.   [Warning: The Daily Slave and The Daily Stormer are right wing, conspiricist websites]

On Trump: US Lying Its Way to War (again)?

 

The recent January 29, 2017 missile test by Iran is not in violation of United Nations Security Council resolutions as many members of congress and certain media claim. The 2015 Iran nuclear agreement has no binding provisions about missile tests. Before the day of implementation of the agreement on January 2016 the Iranians were bound by UN Resolution 1929 (2010) which did forbid the development of missiles and the conducting of tests. But this resolution was rescinded in the 2015 nuclear deal as embodied in UN Resolution 2231 (2015) and a quite different phrasing now covers Iranian missile tests.

Whether congressmen and the White House know this and deliberately lie is an important question as their allegations and reaction with sanctions is a definite step towards conflict and the world will have to be extremely vigilant that the US is not creating conditions again to go to war on false premises. 

There are democratic senators siding now with the White House and they will have to be challenged. On February 2 a bi-partisan group of twenty-two senators on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee signed a letter to the White House making the claim that,

If it is confirmed that Iran tested a ballistic missile capable of delivering a nuclear weapon, Iran will have again violated both the letter and spirit of its obligations under UN Security Council Resolution 2231 (2015) not to undertake any activity related to ballistic missiles designed to be capable of delivering nuclear weapons, including launches using such ballistic missile technology.[1]

The Democratic Senators signing the letter were Ben Cardin (Md.), Tim Kaine (Va.), Debbie Stabenow (Mich.), Chris Coons (Del.), Richard Blumenthal (Conn.), Robert Menendez (N.J.), Bob Casey (Penn.), Bill Nelson (Fla.), Michael Bennet (Colo.), and Ron Wyden (Ore.).

That the senators are in error can be established by contrasting the paragraphs in the two relevant UN resolutions covering Iranian missile tests.

UN Resolution 1929 (2010), article 9 (p. 5), spells it out as follows:

[The Security Council] Decides that Iran shall not undertake any activity related to ballistic missiles capable of delivering nuclear weapons, including launches using ballistic missile technology, and that States shall take all necessary measures to prevent the transfer of technology or technical assistance to Iran related to such activities.[2]

UN Resolution 2231 (2015) in Annex B (p. 99):

Iran is called upon not to undertake any activity related to ballistic missiles designed to be capable of delivering nuclear weapons, including launches using such ballistic missile technology, until the date eight years after the JCPOA Adoption Day or until the date on which the IAEA submits a report confirming the Broader Conclusion, whichever is earlier.[3]

Nuclear non-proliferation expert Daniel Joyner recently pointed out that the legally binding, prohibitive language of Resolution 1929–“Iran shall not undertake”– had changed to the “invitational yet legally nonbinding phrase” of Resolution 2231–“Iran is called upon”.[4]

His conclusion of the analysis of 2231 is that,

Iran’s ballistic missile tests cannot accurately be said to violate UN Security Council resolutions.  The most that could be said about them is that they are not in harmony with the UN Security Council’s legally nonbinding exhortation in Resolution 2231.

Fortunately many media and experts are on board with this analysis and see the Trump administration as dealing in dangerous “threat inflation” and “an eagerness to stir up tensions with Iran over relatively innocuous issues”.[7] Members of congress will have to be challenged on these points and further research into the ideological, political and commercial forces resulting in these incorrect and dangerous positions will have to be engaged in.

According to Joseph Kishore in  a WSWS article, the bi-partisan playbook, if you will, by which the Iranian problem is perceived in Washington is formulated by Anthony Cordesman of the Center for Strategic and International Studies.[6] Iran is an immanent strategic threat to the economic world order as it holds a unique geostrategic position in the middle east directly adjacent to very important shipping lanes and is developing missile capacities which could hit Israel, Egypt and other US allies.[5]

But assessing Iran as a military threat and dissatisfaction with the nuclear deal are not sufficient reasons to engage in  making false allegations about the legality of its missile tests and some verbal sable rattling by the White House. As being defensive and diplomatic might be the wiser attitude here, the US becoming aggressive and mendacious will compel people to question underlying motivations, which might well be for the west to solidify its hegemonic position in the middle east for the sake of global corporate interests, i.e. imperialism.

Or, as Kishore stated, “The initial actions of the Trump administration make clear that the US is preparing a major escalation of military aggression in Central Asia and the Middle East. Fifteen years of the “war on terror” under Bush and Obama—including the invasions of Afghanistan and Iraq, the bombing of Libya, the US-backed civil war in Syria, and the Saudi bombardment of Yemen—have killed over one million people. American imperialism, however, has failed to secure its aim of establishing unrivaled domination over the oil-rich region. Now, under Trump, a new and even bloodier chapter is opening”.[6]

Is the US driven by classic imperialist motives and the aim is economic advantage, or is it driven by opposed civilizational dynamics aiming at subjugation as presidential strategic advisor Steve Bannon seems to think? Or is the latter merely a rationalization for the former?

Originally posted on Facebook, February  5, 2017.

[1]. The Senate Foreign Relations Committee. “Cardin, Corker Lead 20 Bipartisan Colleagues in Iran Letter to President Trump“. Press Release. 2 Feb 2017.

[2]. United Nations Security Council Resolution 1929 (2010).

[3]. United Nations Security Council Resolution 2231 (2015).

[4]. Joyner, Daniel. “Iran’s Ballistic Missile Launches Do Not Violate UN Security Council Resolutions“. 11 Mar 2016. Arms Control Law. Blog.

[5]. Cordesman, Anthony. “Iran, Mattis, and the Real Threat to U.S. Strategic Interests in the Middle East“. Center for Strategic and International Studies. Commentary. 10 Jan 2017.

[6]. Kishore, Joseph . “Democrats back Trump administration’s new sanctions against Iran“. World Socialist Web Site. 4 Feb 2017.

[7]. Glaser, John. “Trump Administration Begins Threat Inflation on Iran“. The Libertarian Institute. 2 Jan 2017.

 

Breitbart’s Yiannopoulos’ Sexist Nonsense

Alt-right ideologue and vocal Trump supporter Milo Yiannopoulos just wrote a gem of a sexist piece for Breitbart asking for a cap of 5-10% for females to enter STEM studies (science, technology, engineering and mathematics). He is concerned that if female participation would be above that level society would be “giving in to ideology and social engineering, rather than looking at what the numbers say and respecting women’s choices.”[1]

The problem with Mr Yiannopoulos is that some of the facts and numbers he presents to back up his proposal are pulled out of thin air. One paragraph crucial to his overall thesis is the following:

“In Norway and Sweden, some of the most progressive, female-friendly places in the world, the number of women studying maths and science collapses to single figures. What this tells us is that, given every opportunity to choose, women stubbornly refuse to study the subjects feminists would like them to.”[1]

When checking this claim I found an article stating that in Norway “only a third of those who study mathematics, natural sciences or technological fields are women.”[2] And at the postgraduate level the following occurs in Sweden: ” … if one compares the percentage of women and the number of men who have left academia five years after the award of a doctoral degree, one sees that in all disciplines except social sciences, contrary to stereotypes, more men are likely to leave academia than women …”[3]

To spell it out: “One third” is at least a whopping 330% more than Yiannopoulos’ “single figures” as far as Swedish females studying math and science is concerned, and staying in academia more than men can hardly be equated with Yiannopoulos’ claim of females “stubbornly refuse to study”. Ergo, Yiannopoulos just makes things up to bolster his sexist policy proposal.

This manner of making a case, which can only be characterized as ‘conclusion-based writing skewered towards sexism’, is very troubling and should be exposed as such. It’s fine for this writer to have opinions, but he has to have some decency to respect the facts, which, as shown in an analysis of a speech he recently gave at the University of Pittsburgh, he does not have.[4] When unsupported premises start to be treated as facts, then arguing becomes almost futile. And that’s exactly the toxic MO of Breitbart and Trump.

The long-term effect of this prejudiced mindset is to further delay the in my opinion necessary adoption in the US of best and most socially just practices from European social democracies. Instead, what the US will be experiencing during the trump administration is a, hopefully temporary, counter-spurt in the overall civilizational process towards impulse control and empathy.

Meanwhile, as of February 2017, because of making controversial statements generally interpreted as favoring pedophilia, Yiannopoulos was disinvited from appearing at a conservative conference, lost a book deal with a prominent publisher and resigned from Breitbart.

[1].  Yiannopoulos, Milo. “Here’s Why There Ought to Be a Cap on Women Studying Science and Maths“. Breitbart. 15 Jun 2015.

[2]. Armundsen, Bard. “Women and men still study completely different university subjects“. ScienceNordic. 26 Aug 2015.

[3]. Kamerlin, Shina. “Where are the female science professors? A personal perspective“. F1000Research 5:1224. 6 Jun 2016.

[4]. Goddard, Audrey. “I fact checked Milo Yiannopoulos’ speech and it was nonsense“. The Tab. 4 Aug 2015.

On Trump: The Steele Report Echoing the Golitsyn Deception?

 

Ten days before the inauguration of Trump an anonymous bombshell intelligence report was published by Buzzfeed.[1] The report, written by former British MI6 agent and Russia expert Christopher Steele, alleges that 1) Russian intelligence has compromising material on Trump gathered when he visited Leningrad and Moscow a few years ago; 2) there were extensive and frequent contacts between people high in the Trump campaign and Russian intelligence; and 3) that intelligence was swapped between the two parties; Trump giving intelligence on Russian oligarchs in the US and Russia reciprocating with ‘opposition research’ on Hillary Clinton. If the report is even half true it will be the biggest political bombshell in recent history, even bigger than Watergate, and will lead to a hopefully short constitutional crisis solved by Trump stepping down as President and the possible arrests of Paul Manafort, Carter Page and Michael Cohen.

 
If false, and the Intelligence Community knew these memos to be false, this will be a very troubling interference by them into the affairs of the US Government and heads will roll.
 
If its truth doesn’t matter in this post-truth age, then you’re in for at least a good spy novel read.
 
The material was widely known apparently in media, intelligence and political circles since the summer of 2016, but were never divulged until CNN found out that a two page synopsis of this material was presented to both Trump and Obama at an intelligence briefing, which might have lend a certain credibility to this set of ‘intelligence memos’.[2] After CNN’s report Buzzfeed decided to publish all the 35 pages of memos to inform the American public of what these allegations were.
 
Apparently the FBI already had these memos before McCain also got a copy and passed them on to the FBI. The believers’ narrative is that the memos were written by a former MI6 agent who had a good reputation for producing believable material. He was hired by both anti-Trump republicans and later by democrats. They also make the case that this material provides the missing background info to understand Trump’s puzzling positive relationship with Russia.
 
The story will not easily disappear. If it is true, which still might be possible, it will blow up Trump. If it is false, which seems to be the current working hypothesis, the focus will be on who fabricated it, when and why.
 
The Wall Street Journal and others think it came from a British private intelligence company named Orbis and that the writer was Christopher Steele, who went underground fearing for his life.[3] He is considered by many to be a reliable source.[4]
 
Obviously, if there really exists a compromising tape, and as long as there is plausible deniability about its existence, the Russians have some power over Trump. If the Steele Memos (or Russian Dossier) are to believed, the Russians did not use any big pressure on Trump because he has cooperated so well with them.
 
Since these memos have become public all parties involved will have adapted their tactics. For example, the Russians will lay low and consistently deny any wrongdoing because they do not want to jeopardize their desired goal of more lenient sanctions or even their total lift. They took a huge risk with helping Trump into the White House in order to have sanctions lifted, because, if found out, there might be a severe backlash and sanctions might increase.

On the other side–and here the full, fascinating wilderness-of-mirrors metaphor is applicable–author, journalist and expert on Russia, David Satter, came up with an alternative explanation of the origin and intentions behind this very controversial Steel Dossier / Trump Report. He thinks that the Russians fed Steele with concocted, but very plausible, compromising information about Trump’s relations with Russian prostitutes, agents and politicians in order to confuse, undermine and demoralize American intelligence, politicians and public.[5] So far that game plan seems to work.

I thought about this possibility before, because Soviet intelligence had probably mounted something similar in the late 1950s when they concocted a very complex but plausible story of Soviet infiltration at very high levels of US intelligence, especially the CIA, and mixed the story with the idea that the big breaks in the international communist world, especially the Russia-China break, were intentional deceptions in order for the Communist bloc to look fragmented and weak to the West. And it was touted as a very smart, very devious long term plan by the Communist world to defeat the West.

This information was carefully fed to one defector, Anatoly Golitsyn, who brought the story to the CIA where the head of counterintelligence, James Jesus Angleton, bought the package, hook, line and sinker. This information triggered an unprecedented mole-hunt within the ranks of the CIA, which had a crippling and polarizing effect on the CIA’s capacity of sorting out genuine defectors from plants and solid information from deceptive fabrications, for example the very tricky question of the extent of Soviet involvement in the JFK assassination about which different defectors presented different stories.[6]

For several reasons I believed the Angleton-Golitsyn thesis on Soviet deception to be correct and wrote an article in 2004 explaining the whole set-up and weaving it together with then stock-in-trade right-wing conspiracy memes about Yale’s semi-secret senior society Skull & Bones and the New York based think tank The Council on Foreign Relations.[7] Though I did not have, then nor now, definitive refutation nor confirmation of the thesis, it was US journalist Ron Rosenbaum who pointed out the possibility that the whole Golitsyn story could have been a very clever concoction of which even the defector himself was not aware.[8]

If Satter’s thesis pans out then Trump and his team could be cleared from most of the Steele allegations, even though the extent of Trump’s financial involvement with Russian oligarchs and Mafya is still unclear, and we can conclude that Russia’s intervention with the US electoral process was one or two layers more devious and smart than most of us might have thought.

Originally posted on Facebook, January 19,  2017.

[1]. Anon. [Steele, Christopher]. “Trump Intelligence Allegations“. Buzzfeed. 10 Jan 2017. 

[2]. Evan Perez, Jim Sciutto, Jake Tapper and Carl Bernstein, . “Intel chiefs presented Trump with claims of Russian efforts to compromise him“. CNN. 10 Jan 2017. 
 
 
[4]. Nick Hopkins and Luke Harding. “Donald Trump dossier: Intelligence sources vouch for author’s credibility“. The Guardian. 12 Jan 2017. 

[5]. Satter, David. “The ‘Trump Report’ Is a Russian Provocation”. The National Review. 12 Jan 2017.

[6]. Books sympathetic to the Angleton-Golitsyn thesis are Edward Jay Epstein’s Deception: The Invisible War Between The KGB And The CIA (New York: Simon & Schuster, 1989) and Mark Riebling’s Wedge: The Secret War Between the FBI and CIA (Alfred Knopf, New York, 1994).

More critical books are Tom Mangold’s Cold Warrior: James Jesus Angleton: The CIA’s Master Spy Hunter (New York: Touchstone, 1991) and David Wise’s Molehunt: The Secret Search for Traitors that Shattered the CIA (New York: Random House, 1992).

[7]. Schuller, Govert. “The Abiding Communist Threat in its Open and Hidden Manifestations“. Alpheus. 4 July 2004.

[8]. Rosenbaum, Ron. “The Shadow of the Mole: Two superpowers, three master spies, four false defectors, five schools of mole lore, and seven types of ambiguity.” Harper’s (October 1983). Also in: Travels with Dr. Death (New York: Penguin, 1991).

On Trump: Why We Should not Normalize Trump

 

In December 2016 I found online a list of 76 proven lies by Trump and read them all. The list is named “Donald Trump’s Bullshitopedia: An Ever Expanding Catalog Of Lies”.[1] The list is a good reminder that Trump is a pathological liar. I am not just saying that to bash Trump, but to make the case that we have to move into larger theoretical frameworks to start understanding both Trump and his followers and what they are doing to this country and the world. So far I have scouted a few contenders, two of which complement each other:

1) Understanding Trump’s behavior within the theory of psychopathology.[2] Trump arguably suffers from what psychologists call ‘the dark triad’ of of narcissism (self-aggrandizing, self-serving), machiavellianism (calculated manipulation) and psychopathy (lack of impulse control and and lack of empathy).[3] Such persons are very hard to handle. Either you evade them as much as possible or suck up to them and play along. Not many people have the skill to stand up to them, stay fair and firm, gain respect and guide them into constructive attitudes and ideas.[4]

2) Understanding Trump within the theoretical framework of ponerology, i.e. the use of evil for political ends.[5] Trump is a psychologically deviant person who has aggressively taken over and pathologized a political machine–the Republican Party–and bamboozled and spellbound a significant part of the American electorate with blatant lies, undeliverable promises and fear mongering. Then he manipulated both the GOP and Americans to get himself into the White House thereby extending the reach and power of a pathocracy which might have started with the Bush II administration.[6] This process of ‘ponerization’ is enabled by more or less normal persons accepting and adjusting to a psychopath instead of standing up to him.[7]

What these two frameworks have in common is the idea that normal people might cave in by either stepping aside or getting spellbound. With these theoretical frameworks in mind the following set of sharp observations from the Bullshitopedia article will give such frameworks flesh and and relevance:

The fact that Trump still manages to attract supporters who are willing to look past his shameless mendacity, and worse, to revere him as a quasi-savior, is a frightening testament to the decline of American democracy. These are people who not only submit blissfully to being lied to, they embrace a philosophy of bigotry, division, fear, and the authoritarian strains of fascism. They have abandoned whatever tendencies they may have had toward freedom, in favor of a despot who reeks of false and unattainable promises of security and prosperity. It is the behavior of cultists who have surrendered to mindless discipleship and have lost the ability to discern fantasy from reality. It’s a learned response that has been ingrained from watching way too much Fox News.[1]

What caught my eye in this quote–and this has been noted before–was the observation that

It is the behavior of cultists who have surrendered to mindless discipleship and have lost the ability to discern fantasy from reality.

This very well accords with the observation in ponerology that when 

… a group has succumbed to pathological influence its members soon lose the ability to distinguish normal human behavior from pathological. This atrophy of critical faculties in relation to such individuals becomes an opening to their activities. It can also be used to identify potentially dangerous groups.[7]

That some will try to normalize Trump is understandable as the rise of a pathocrat to the office of president of the USA is for some too horrific to contemplate. It is only normal to want to cover over the fact that a psychologically deviant personality sits in the Oval Room.  The only hope in December 2106 was that the US Electoral College would have had the intellectual fortitude and authentic conscience to assess Trump as unfit for the job because of his psychopathology and massive conflicts of interest, and reject him. Unfortunately did this not happen, though impeachment is still possible.

Originally posted on Facebook, December 5, 2016.

[1]. “Donald Trump’s Bullshitopedia: An Ever Expanding Catalog Of Lies“. News Corpse. 29 Nov 2015. According to the compiler this list is based on the file on Donald Trump maintained by PolitiFact. The Huffington Post compiled a list with “The First 100 Lies: The Trump Team’s Flurry Of Falsehoods” enumerating the lies coming from Trump and his spokespersons since his inauguration. 

Originally posted on Facebook, February  2017.

[2]. Schuller, G. “On Trump: Diagnosing 301.81 and the Goldwater Rule“. Alpheus. 21 Feb 2017.

[3]. Whitbourne, Susan Krauss, Ph.D. “Shedding Light on Psychology’s Dark Triad: A dirty dozen test to detect narcissism, Machiavellianism, and psychopathy“. Psychology Today. 26 Jan 2013.

[4]. Barker, Eric. “How to Deal With a Narcissist: 5 Secrets Backed by Research“.  Observer. 28 Jan 2016. 
 
[5]. Ponerology is a psychological research program of psychopathological processes on a social scale in organizations and politics. See: Lobaczewski, Andrew. Political Ponerology: A Science on the Nature of Evil Adjusted for Political Purposes. Red Pill Press, 2006 [1998]. You can read online a very fine introduction.

[6]. Schuller, G. “On Trump: The Aspiring Pathocrat” Alpheus. 24 Feb 2017.

[7]. “The Genesis of Evil“. Political Ponerology Web Site.

On Trump: The Aspiring Pathocrat

In previous posts I have commented on some of the psychological dynamics of Trump and the political dynamics of his followers. In this post I like to explore the rather dark territory of their interaction in rather clinical terminology necessary to get a sane and objective grip on this otherwise very disturbing phenomenon. I will execute this with the help of a relatively unknown inter-disciplinary research program named ‘political ponerology’ which addresses pathological processes on a social and political scale.

Previously I addressed the logic of how libertarian conservatives following politicians like Ron and Rand Paul could have become authoritarian conservatives following someone like Trump.[1] This had to do with the increased intolerance of some conservatives, which one researcher saw as the product of one’s innate authoritarian tendencies amplified by one’s threat perception, with the important caveat that perceived threats could be both real and imagined. This formula — Intolerance = Authoritarian Disposition x Threat Perception — came out very handy in explaining this shift in conservative preferences.

The logic seems to be that when libertarians perceive grave threats (like real socioeconomic downturns and/or imagined conspiracies) to their social and political world (which concept might also be a mix of real and imagined components), this threat perception might then trigger intolerance towards ‘others’ depending on how big their innate authoritarian dispositions are.

Secondly I addressed the idea that, because Trump displays such self-aggrandizing and cruel behavior to others, the US electorate is entitled to a professional assessment of his mental health even though that might involve breaking the Goldwater Rule forbidding professional psychologists, psychiatrists and psychotherapists to make diagnostic statements on public figures.[2] This is important because familiarity with the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders  or just engaging serious psychological websites will lead directly to the idea that it is highly probable that Trump suffers from one kind or another of narcissism, either just a curable malignant narcissistic character trait or even irreversible Narcissistic Personality Disorder (NPD).

What I had not addressed is the question of how a narcissistic leader and an intolerant following might interact and amplify each other leading to possibly catastrophic results. What I had in mind was something of an inter-disciplinary, macro-social framework combining psychology, sociology, history and political science. When I read Norbert Elias’ great The Civilizational Process I thought to have found such a framework as he addressed the process by which a civilization generates personality structures with increased impulse control and capacity to empathize, and also generates correlative political structures monopolizing violence and pacifying parts of society.[3] 

Elias sees this process going in spurts and counter-spurts and it looked very probable that Trump and his followers were displaying a collective regressive behavior characteristic of a civilizational counter-spurt as they arguably deliberately reject both outer and inner impulse-control mechanisms and start railing against elites, regulations, taxes, political correctness, feminism, environmentalism and outsiders, and instead start to extol nationalism, militarism, authoritarianism, political violence, repressive security measures and censorship. Except for some scattered comments, Elias did not look into the mechanism itself by which a regressive political movement gains power and infects the rest of society with its deviations.

To get a more filled out picture of this mechanism one has to dig into a relatively small research program surreptitiously started by the Polish psychologist Andrew Lobaczewski and friends while they studied psychology when Poland was ruled by a repressive Communist regime.[4] With their understanding of psychopathology and first-hand observations of the regime and their agents they had plenty of empirical material to work with.

These studies culminated in a manuscript which got lost twice, but after careful reconstruction was published in Polish in 1984 with an English translation in 1998. The English title is Political Ponerology: A Science on the Nature of Evil Adjusted for Political Purposes. This is a very serious, bit depressing, but also very enlightening study which is now promoted by a group of academics and should get more exposure and funding as it addresses the process by which organizations, political parties and whole countries can get infested and hijacked by the pathological behavior of only a few individuals.

The key terminology is composed of concepts formed with root words like patho-, i.e. severe psychological deviance, and ponero-, i.e. manifest evil which can become politically organized and lead to oppressive regimes, the study of which Lacobzewski named ‘political ponerology’.

In a very abbreviated form the study highlights how certain organizations become ‘ponerogenic associations’, i.e. organizations either started or taken over by charateropathic or psychopathic individuals in which normal persons become increasingly marginalized or become spellbound by its leadership and lose the capacity to recognize its deviant behavior. Once a ponerogenic organization becomes an influential political entity–enabled by the natural ignorance and weakness of otherwise normal people in the rest of the population–there is the chance that it will infect a country’s elite, something which Lobaczewski calls ‘hysterization’ or ‘macropathy’. Once an elite, or faction, comes to power it becomes that country’s ‘pathocracy’.

One of the key concepts is what Lobazewski names the ‘First Criterion of Ponerogenesis’:

“One phenomenon all ponerogenic groups and associations have in common is the fact that their members lose (or have already lost) the capacity to perceive pathological individuals as such, interpreting their behavior in fascinated, heroic, or melodramatic ways”.[6] 

A commentator paraphrased this quote as follows:

“When a group has succumbed to pathological influence its members soon lose the ability to distinguish normal human behavior from pathological. This atrophy of critical faculties in relation to such individuals becomes an opening to their activities. It can also be used to identify potentially dangerous groups”.[7]

Lobaczewski presents a fine-grained analysis of this process of how otherwise normal people get into the habit of ignoring morally inconvenient facts in their society which leads to the impossibility of drawing valid conclusions. To compensate for that lack of veracity people become more confused, emotional, irrational and egotistical, and start perceiving non-existent conspiracies and dangers. Then, when the deviation from reality has grown quite extensive, people will become susceptible for manipulation by con-men and psychologically deviant individuals.

Lobaczewski discerns patterns and cycles in Europe and the US and his translators and commentators have extended his analyses to the Bush II administration. Lobaczewski thinks–writing in the 1980s–that the US is actually suffering from ‘macropathy’ possibly leading to a ‘pathocracy’ and should maybe be cut up in 13 pieces because smaller countries, like in Europe, have a better chance to detect and manage macropathic tendencies.[5] He thinks Europe had its ‘hysterical’ cycle from 1890 till the start of World War I at which point widespread war and revolution took over and many countries fell for Communist or Fascist pathocracies. After World War II western Europe was getting much better, having learned some bitter lessons. Lobaczewski projected quite positive developments in Europe into the beginning of the 20th century, which might be confirmed by the many quality of life statistics in most European social democratic countries. The editor of the book, in her running comments of the text in her footnotes, thinks that it was especially the neoconservative Bush II administration which harbored political psychopaths like Bush himself, Cheney, Rumsfeld and Rove (with Rice and Powell as spellbound demi-normal persons). There is no mention of Kennedy, Carter, Clinton or other Democrats.

My sense is that the ponerological categories developed by Lobaczewski are eminently applicable to Trump and his followers and that the liberal Democrats, especially Sanders, represent a typical European slant towards a more humane and sane social democracy, though many corporate Democrats are quite beholden to the US power elite and the policies developed by its long-term policy think tank the Council on Foreign Relations, such that I expect Clinton to endorse an adjusted version of the TPP.

Many commentators think that Trump is not merely an unfortunate deviation of otherwise lofty Republican principles, but is the logical outcome of decades of build-up resentments against taxes, regulations, immigrants, minorities, feminists, scientists, etc. In that sense a Trump administration would be the continuation and intensification of the Bush II neoconservative pathocracy. The encouraging development this time is that the more decent people in the GOP are becoming aware of the dangerously deviant nature of Trump. Many prominent Republicans are finally distancing themselves from Trump, because of his predatory sexual attitudes and dangerous pronouncements about the democratic process itself. They see he is really unhinged and dangerous and they have just enough decency and critical faculty to more or less say ‘enough is enough’. Fortunately the American electorate tends towards rejection of Trump too and will throw the election to Clinton, probably in a landslide [not!].

If these ponerological categories apply then the US really has a very serious problem, especially if the left-over Trump followers coalesce into a genuine, but very deplorable, Amero-fascist movement. The big question will be if this movement will become a hard or soft Fascist movement, and if normal, decent people will detect this phenomenon and will be able to manage it in a wise manner. Lobaczewski’s research program of political ponerology will help.

Naperville, 21 Oct 2016
Initially posted on facebook

[1]. Schuller, Govert. “On Trump: Intolerance and Authoritarianism“. Alpheus. 20 Feb 2017. 

[2]. Schuller, Govert. “On Trump: Diagnosing 301.81 and the Goldwater Rule“. Alpheus. 21 Feb 2017. 

[3]. Schuller, Govert. “On Trump: Elias, Civilization and Trump“. Alpheus. 24 Feb 2017. 

[4]. Lobaczewski, Andrew. Political Ponerology: A Science on the Nature of Evil Adjusted for Political Purposes. Red Pill Press, 2006 [1998].

[5]. Lobaczewski, 57.

[6]. Lobaczewski, 158.

[7]. “The Genesis of Evil“. Political ponerology web Site.